📊 Technical View Today
Gold XAUUSD today (May 13, 2026 · 10:00) is at 4,693.27 · down 0.23% from open.
Overview: Price remains within the Sell zone identified May 11-12 — currently in downtrend continuation after price tested 4,777 and rejected lower.
📰 News Impact Today
Key news today: US-China Handshake against Hormuz fees — bullish for:
- 📉 Oil prices: Likely to decline → Gold safe-haven demand drops
- 📊 Risk-On: Market shifts risk-on → Gold weakens
- 💵 USD: Short-term weakness but Fed may delay rate cut
- ⚖️ Net effect on Gold: Bearish bias intact
📍 Key Levels
| Type | Price | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| 🟢 Breakout Target Zone | 4,914 - 4,964 | Upside target (if range breaks up) |
| Max Resistance | 4,887 - 4,888 | Monthly high · Reject Zone |
| 🔴 SL Zone | 4,800 | SL for Sell (wider buffer) |
| Local High | 4,777 | Recent reject point |
| 🎯 Sell Entry (NEW) | 4,736 - 4,756 | New entry zone |
| Mid-range | 4,710 | Pivot |
| Current Price | 4,693.27 | -0.23% · declining |
| 🎯 TP1 (NEW) | 4,680 | Short-term Target |
| 🎯 TP2 (NEW) | 4,660 - 4,630 | Extended Target |
| TP3 / Demand | 4,600 | Round number · key support |
| Confirmation Support | 4,559 | Before Buy Zone |
| 🟢 Buy Entry | 4,520 - 4,578 | New Buy (wait for pullback) |
| SL Buy | 4,475 | Below larger structure |
🎯 Setup A — Sell Plan (TODAY)
| Entry Zone: | 4,736 - 4,756 |
| Stop Loss: | 4,800 (wider buffer) |
| Take Profit 1: | 4,680 (R:R ~1:1) |
| Take Profit 2: | 4,660 - 4,630 (R:R ~1:1.5-2) |
| TP3 (extended): | 4,600 (R:R ~2.3) |
📋 Sell Entry Steps
- Currently at 4,693 — wait for price to rally to 4,736-4,756 zone (43-63 pips away)
- Look for Reversal signals on 1H:
- 🕯️ Pin Bar / Shooting Star at 4,736-4,756
- 🕯️ Bearish Engulfing
- 📊 RSI overbought + bearish divergence
- 📐 Trendline rejection
- Enter Sell in 2 stages (Scale-in):
- 50% lot at 4,736 (entry 1)
- 50% lot at 4,750-4,756 (entry 2 — if extends higher)
- Place SL at 4,800 (wider for volatility)
- TP1 at 4,680 → Close 30-50% + move SL → Break-Even
- TP2 at 4,660-4,630 → Close another 30-50%
- Let runner ride to 4,600 (main Demand Zone)
🎯 Setup B — Buy Plan (WAIT for pullback · Don't rush!)
| Entry Zone: | 4,520 - 4,578 |
| Stop Loss: | 4,475 (below previous low) |
| Take Profit 1: | 4,680 (R:R ~1:2) |
| Take Profit 2: | 4,736-4,756 (R:R ~1:2.5-3) |
| Extended Target: | 4,800 (R:R ~1:4) |
💡 Power of Price View
"Price remains within the Sell zone as planned — continuing downtrend matching our forecast from yesterday · The US-China handshake news is a tailwind supporting our Sell setup · If price rallies back to 4,736-4,756, it's an ideal Sell opportunity · Do not Buy until price hits 4,578-4,520."
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
- 🔥 Geopolitical Surprise: If US-China-Iran talks fail → Gold gap up + Hormuz closure → Sell setup invalid
- 📊 Fed Decision: If Fed signals earlier rate cut → USD weakens → Gold rallies
- 📰 Trump Tweets: Trump's tweets can shift sentiment instantly
- 🌀 Whipsaw during news: Wider SL at 4,800 for volatility
- 📈 4,800 Break: If price breaks 4,800 cleanly → Setup invalid → flip to Buy continuation
📋 Risk Management
- ✅ Risk no more than 1-2% per trade
- ✅ Always use SL — never trade without SL
- ✅ Scale-in 2 stages (50% + 50%) — reduces entry timing risk
- ✅ Scale-out: close portions (50% at TP1 / 30% at TP2 / runner 20%)
- ✅ Lot size example: $1,000 capital + 60 pip SL = 0.03 lot (Risk $18 = 1.8%)
- ✅ Move SL to Break-Even when TP1 floating
- ✅ Trail stop following 1H candle structure after TP2
1️⃣ Sell 4,736-4,756 · SL 4,800 · TP1 4,680 / TP2 4,660-4,630 (R:R ~1:1-2)
2️⃣ For Buy waiters → wait for pullback Buy 4,520-4,578 · SL 4,475 · TP 4,680-4,800
⚠️ Don't rush to Buy if 4,600 hasn't dropped
📰 Monitor US-China handshake + Iran response closely
📅 Compared to Yesterday's Plan
| Item | Yesterday (May 12) | Today (May 13) ✨ |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Price | 4,729.39 | 4,693.27 (-0.77%) |
| Sell Zone | 4,745 - 4,768 | 4,736 - 4,756 (-9 to -12 pips) |
| SL | 4,800 | 4,800 (same · wider buffer) |
| TP1 | 4,680 | 4,680 (same) |
| TP2 | 4,652 | 4,660 - 4,630 (expanded range) |
| Buy Zone | 4,520 - 4,578 | 4,520 - 4,578 (same) |
| Bias | Sell short-term | Sell continuation (stronger) |
📝 Plan adjustment: Price followed forecast (declining) → adjusted Entry down 9-12 pips per structure · Expanded TP2 range to accommodate multi-level movements · TP3 4,600 remains the same target