Analysis · XAUUSD UPDATED · MAY 13

Gold Trading Plan May 13 — Sell Zone 4,736-4,756 · TP 4,680-4,630

Technical view today — Gold XAUUSD remains in the Sell zone, continuing downtrend formation. Power of Price adjusts Sell zone to 4,736-4,756 · SL 4,800 (wider buffer) · TP1 4,680 · TP2 4,660-4,630 · For Buy waiters — wait for pullback at 4,578-4,520 · Aligned with US-China Hormuz handshake news

XAUUSD 1H Chart May 13, 2026 — Sell 4,736-4,756 / TP 4,680-4,630

📊 Technical View Today

Gold XAUUSD today (May 13, 2026 · 10:00) is at 4,693.27 · down 0.23% from open.

Overview: Price remains within the Sell zone identified May 11-12 — currently in downtrend continuation after price tested 4,777 and rejected lower.

📰 News Impact Today

Key news today: US-China Handshake against Hormuz fees — bullish for:

  • 📉 Oil prices: Likely to decline → Gold safe-haven demand drops
  • 📊 Risk-On: Market shifts risk-on → Gold weakens
  • 💵 USD: Short-term weakness but Fed may delay rate cut
  • ⚖️ Net effect on Gold: Bearish bias intact

📍 Key Levels

TypePriceSignificance
🟢 Breakout Target Zone4,914 - 4,964Upside target (if range breaks up)
Max Resistance4,887 - 4,888Monthly high · Reject Zone
🔴 SL Zone4,800SL for Sell (wider buffer)
Local High4,777Recent reject point
🎯 Sell Entry (NEW)4,736 - 4,756New entry zone
Mid-range4,710Pivot
Current Price4,693.27-0.23% · declining
🎯 TP1 (NEW)4,680Short-term Target
🎯 TP2 (NEW)4,660 - 4,630Extended Target
TP3 / Demand4,600Round number · key support
Confirmation Support4,559Before Buy Zone
🟢 Buy Entry4,520 - 4,578New Buy (wait for pullback)
SL Buy4,475Below larger structure

🎯 Setup A — Sell Plan (TODAY)

📉 Sell Setup — New Round
Entry Zone:4,736 - 4,756
Stop Loss:4,800 (wider buffer)
Take Profit 1:4,680 (R:R ~1:1)
Take Profit 2:4,660 - 4,630 (R:R ~1:1.5-2)
TP3 (extended):4,600 (R:R ~2.3)

📋 Sell Entry Steps

  1. Currently at 4,693 — wait for price to rally to 4,736-4,756 zone (43-63 pips away)
  2. Look for Reversal signals on 1H:
    • 🕯️ Pin Bar / Shooting Star at 4,736-4,756
    • 🕯️ Bearish Engulfing
    • 📊 RSI overbought + bearish divergence
    • 📐 Trendline rejection
  3. Enter Sell in 2 stages (Scale-in):
    • 50% lot at 4,736 (entry 1)
    • 50% lot at 4,750-4,756 (entry 2 — if extends higher)
  4. Place SL at 4,800 (wider for volatility)
  5. TP1 at 4,680 → Close 30-50% + move SL → Break-Even
  6. TP2 at 4,660-4,630 → Close another 30-50%
  7. Let runner ride to 4,600 (main Demand Zone)

🎯 Setup B — Buy Plan (WAIT for pullback · Don't rush!)

⚠️ Very Important: For Buy waiters — wait for pullback to 4,578-4,520 zone only · Do not rush Buy now because trend is still down · Buying too early will trap your capital
📈 Buy Setup (Waiting for Trigger)
Entry Zone:4,520 - 4,578
Stop Loss:4,475 (below previous low)
Take Profit 1:4,680 (R:R ~1:2)
Take Profit 2:4,736-4,756 (R:R ~1:2.5-3)
Extended Target:4,800 (R:R ~1:4)

💡 Power of Price View

"Price remains within the Sell zone as planned — continuing downtrend matching our forecast from yesterday · The US-China handshake news is a tailwind supporting our Sell setup · If price rallies back to 4,736-4,756, it's an ideal Sell opportunity · Do not Buy until price hits 4,578-4,520."

⚠️ Key Risks to Watch

  • 🔥 Geopolitical Surprise: If US-China-Iran talks fail → Gold gap up + Hormuz closure → Sell setup invalid
  • 📊 Fed Decision: If Fed signals earlier rate cut → USD weakens → Gold rallies
  • 📰 Trump Tweets: Trump's tweets can shift sentiment instantly
  • 🌀 Whipsaw during news: Wider SL at 4,800 for volatility
  • 📈 4,800 Break: If price breaks 4,800 cleanly → Setup invalid → flip to Buy continuation

📋 Risk Management

  • ✅ Risk no more than 1-2% per trade
  • ✅ Always use SL — never trade without SL
  • ✅ Scale-in 2 stages (50% + 50%) — reduces entry timing risk
  • ✅ Scale-out: close portions (50% at TP1 / 30% at TP2 / runner 20%)
  • ✅ Lot size example: $1,000 capital + 60 pip SL = 0.03 lot (Risk $18 = 1.8%)
  • ✅ Move SL to Break-Even when TP1 floating
  • ✅ Trail stop following 1H candle structure after TP2
🎯 Today's Plan Summary (May 13):
1️⃣ Sell 4,736-4,756 · SL 4,800 · TP1 4,680 / TP2 4,660-4,630 (R:R ~1:1-2)
2️⃣ For Buy waiters → wait for pullback Buy 4,520-4,578 · SL 4,475 · TP 4,680-4,800
⚠️ Don't rush to Buy if 4,600 hasn't dropped
📰 Monitor US-China handshake + Iran response closely

📅 Compared to Yesterday's Plan

ItemYesterday (May 12)Today (May 13) ✨
Opening Price4,729.394,693.27 (-0.77%)
Sell Zone4,745 - 4,7684,736 - 4,756 (-9 to -12 pips)
SL4,8004,800 (same · wider buffer)
TP14,6804,680 (same)
TP24,6524,660 - 4,630 (expanded range)
Buy Zone4,520 - 4,5784,520 - 4,578 (same)
BiasSell short-termSell continuation (stronger)

📝 Plan adjustment: Price followed forecast (declining) → adjusted Entry down 9-12 pips per structure · Expanded TP2 range to accommodate multi-level movements · TP3 4,600 remains the same target

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